The thread: A branch is a cost
The branch the machine guesses
Insertion sort does 176 times as many comparisons as Timsort at n = 8,192 and mispredicts a sixth as many branches. Merge sort's inner test is a coin flip and misses 51.5% of the time; selection sort's misses 0.6%. A processor does not wait to learn the answer to a comparison — it guesses, and throws away the work when it guessed wrong — and this is the fifth quantity this site counts.
What the machine doesA search with no branch to miss
A binary search does about log₂ n comparisons and every one of them is a coin flip, so it mispredicts once per level. Writing it so the comparison feeds an index instead of a jump costs two thousand extra comparisons over two thousand searches and takes the mispredictions from 17,993 to 2,001 — flat in n, at every size. Under the counters this site had a phase ago, that is a strictly worse algorithm.
What a bound isThe branch that cannot reach an answer
Seventy-two rank operations over the pattern remove 27,906 of the 39,957 interval extensions a bounded-error index walk performs — 70% of the tree, at a budget of three. The share grows with the budget, which is what a pruning has to do to be worth its cost.
The data that is not a numberThe errors the rest of the pattern needs
Read the pattern left to right in an index of the reversed text and count the points where the interval empties. That count is a lower bound on the errors any alignment of the prefix must contain, it costs 72 rank operations, and it removes 70% of a search tree.
What is taught wronglyThe pruning that loses an occurrence
Two versions of the same lower-bound pruning, each one character away from correct. Both return only real occurrences, both return fewer of them, and no check that asks whether the answers are right can tell either from the truth.