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The thread: Expected is not average

Average-case is a claim about the data and evaporates when somebody chooses the input. Expected-case is a claim about the algorithm's own coins and holds on every input there is. The two are written with the same word and only one of them survives an adversary.
0.1bits the register neededrelative errora = 2a = 1.5a = 1.2a = 1.1a = 1.05a = 1.02√((a−1)/2), predicted200 runs per base · n = 20,000 · exact counter needs 15 bits72.6% at 5 bits One pass, and no room

Counting past what the register holds

Morris's counter counts ten million events in five bits by incrementing with probability 2 to the minus c. The estimate is exactly unbiased at every n, its relative error is 71%, and the base is a dial that trades one against the other at a rate of the square root of half of a minus one.

quicksort on sorted input — comparisonsfirst-element pivot2,096,128random pivot25,318a search tree built from sorted keys — heightbinary search tree2,047treap26a hash table on keys chosen to collide — worst bucketthe low bits of the key2,048multiply–shift, a at random10n = 2,048, bars on a logarithmic scaledeterministic above, randomised below What a bound is

Expected is not average

Quicksort on 2,048 sorted keys costs 2,096,128 comparisons with a first-element pivot and 25,318 with a random one. A binary search tree on the same keys is 2,047 deep; a treap is 26. A hash table on keys computed against its hash puts all 2,048 in one bucket; one drawn from a family puts at most 10 there. Three problems, one distinction.

average 8.001,0242,048bucket, 0 to 255keys in the bucketthe low bits · keys built for this hashworst bucket 2,048 against 8.0 When the algorithm flips a coin

A hash is a family, not a function

Two thousand and forty-eight keys into two hundred and fifty-six buckets. Under a hash that takes the low bits of the key, all 2,048 land in bucket zero and 255 buckets are empty. Under a multiplier drawn at random, the worst bucket holds 11. The keys are the same keys, and they are the multiples of the table size.

46810120.010.1bits per element (m / n)false-positive ratemeasured(1 − e^(−kn/m))^kfrom the bits set60,000 absent-key queries per point, seed 80800 false negatives at every size What is taught wrongly

The formula everybody sizes filters with

Fill a Bloom filter with four thousand random keys and its measured false-positive rate is within 4% of the textbook formula. Fill the same filter with the integers 1 to 4,000 and the rate is 30% worse than the formula says — not because the hash is bad, but because it is too good on that input.

randomised pivot164 random bits2.96 ±23%median of mediansno random bits7.94 ±2%0.04.38.6comparisons per element — bar is the range over seeds, tick is the mean30 seeds, n = 4,001, median2.68× the mean, 14× the spread What a bound is

What derandomising costs

Randomised selection finds the median of twenty thousand elements in 3.21 comparisons per element and median-of-medians takes 8.15 — two and a half times as many for the same answer, both linear. The number that decides between them is not either of those. It is that the first varies by 28% from seed to seed and the second by 1.6%.

1,00010,000110100modulus qverifications in one searchq = 257: 693measuredn / qchosen text: 6%one unit = one character comparison · base 2568 colliding blocks at q = 1,009, none at q = 1,000,003 When the algorithm flips a coin

A match decided by a number

Rabin–Karp replaces a comparison of two strings with a comparison of two integers, and pays for it only when the integers agree by accident. On 65,521 windows at a modulus of 1,009 it verified 79 times against a predicted 64.9. On a text of 1,024 characters chosen with the modulus in hand it verified at 64 windows out of 64 possible, each one costing fifteen of the pattern's sixteen characters — and the closed form is silent about that, because it assumes nobody chose the text.

average 8.001,0242,048bucket, 0 to 255keys in the bucketmultiply–shift · keys built for this hashworst bucket 2,048 against 8.0 What is taught wrongly

The adversary who knows the seed

Every randomised figure on this site is drawn from a stated seed, so that the numbers in the captions are the numbers on the reader's screen. That is also the exact condition under which none of the guarantees those figures demonstrate applies. A published seed is a published function.

10³10³10⁴10⁵10⁶10⁷ncomparisonsadversary, no depth limitadversary, as it shipsrandom inputn²/2McIlroy's adversary, answering as it goescomparisons, counted exactly What a bound is

The depth limit that almost never fires

Introsort counts how deep its recursion has gone and calls heapsort if it passes twice the logarithm. On every input measured, the mechanism handles under a tenth of a per cent of the elements. Then an adversary that answers the comparisons rather than choosing the array drives it to exactly n²/2 with the limit removed, and to one heapsort call with it — a factor of forty-two at n = 8,192, and growing.

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